Egghead Warrior's Blog

Back after a bye week, we return for Week 5 of the Professional Grappling Federation League Play.  A couple of reminders, you have $81 in your budget for you lineup.  Players earn 2 points if their opponent does not show up; 3 points for a “break” (joint lock); and 7 points for a “kill” (choke). 

I’ve separated the contestants into tiers based on price and provided the names of their opponents; some analysis on likely outcomes of matches; and estimated point total for the week.

This week I’m not giving you all the picks for my team. I’m highlighting my PICK OF THE WEEK!!! but you have to pick your own team. Without a further ado, onto the analysis:

UPDATE: ACCORDING TO THE COMMISH ROBERT GLADDEN, ROGER COEHLO, CALEB MCALISTER, CANAAN BROOKS, AND MIKE JOHNSON ARE OUT FOR TONIGHT. I’VE MADE ADJUSTMENTS ACCORDINGLY BELOW.

SUPER PREMIUMS (you’re going to offset the expense)

Elijah Carlton (black) – $26 – Stephen Mitchell (purple), Roger Coelho (black), Ridge Blackburn (black) – I’m expecting Elijah to continue to be the buzzsaw consensus #1 guy getting ONE choke and 4 points for Ridge’s AND ROGER’S no showS  [11 points]

Nilo “the Mop” Bergener (brown) – $24 – BYE WEEK

UPDATE – HE’S OUT!!! Caleb McAllister (black) – $21 – Ridge Blackburn (black), Noah Randolph (blue), Mike Johnson (purple) – moved up to super premiums this week. [16 points – two chokes and 2 for no show]

Jonathan “Elbow Genie” Roberts (brown) – $20 – Jeremy “Kneebar Knight” Geiger (Blue), Casey Willbanks (blue)  only two fights, moved up to super premiums this week, likely 6 points for the two breaks.

PREMIUMS

UPDATE – HE’S OUT!!! Roger Coelho (black) – $19 – Elijah Carlton (black), Moises Carrasco. I think Elijah gets the win and Carrasco manages a tie. [0 points].

Seth Tatum (blue) – $18 – Eric Longar (brown), Jeremy “Kneebar Knight” Geiger (blue). Tatum has the size advantage on Longar.  The Tatum/Geiger matchup could be more interesting. Tatum seem to have the edge with the ability to enter his game plan by sitting guard (thereby limiting Geiger’s collegiate wrestling advantage on the feet), but they’ve likely rolled so many times they could cancel each other’s games resulting in a tie.  [7 points].

Matt “Scarecrow of Death” Harrison (brown) – $18 – Mario Gaor (purple), Dennis Smith (white). I’m going to say the SOD gets two chokes, but gets a little run for his money from Gaor. But with only two opponents, we only have [14 points].

Matt “the Mane” Elkins (brown) – $18 – Matt Anderson (beast), Louis Collins (blue), Blake “Boy Wonder” Randall (blue) – Elkins has had a tough lineup thus far.  This week is only slightly easier. He’s facing two top 10 players. Manderson has the edge on strength, but as I noted in my week 5 preview, it’s like the Hulk vs the Thing.  Elkins should have the skill advantage and get the sub. Boy Wonder has been a real surprise and gamer this season, and Collins has shown some grit in matches. Regardless, Elkins gets the nod for two kills and a break – [17 points].

Matt Anderson (beast) – $17 – Matt “the Mane” Elkins (brown), Mario Gaor (purple). Manderson getting some serious respect shown by the big jump in price this week, putting him in premium category.  However, he’s only got two matches and at best is likely to tie with Elkins.  I’m saying Manderson crushes Gaor with his size and strength. [7 points].

Moises Carrasco – $17 – Roger Coelho (black), Ridge Blackburn (black), Noah Randolph (blue). I don’t feel I have an adequate sample size for Moises. He’s looked good. Best shot is to say ties Roger, gets the two points for Ridge no-show, and lands a darce on Noah (cheering for Noah, but Moises looked good with his headlock darce setup). [4 POINTS FOR TWO NO SHOWS]

AVERAGE

Blake “Boy Wonder” Randall (blue) – $16 – Michael Libby (blue), Matt “the Mane” Elkins (brown),  same price. Elkins is a bigger, more experienced wrestler and jiu jitsu player. I’ll give Randall a sub on Libby.  [7 points]

Jeremy “Knee Barrista” Geiger (Blue) – $16 – Jonathan “Elbow Genie” Roberts (brown), Keahi Makekau (white), Seth Tatum (blue).  Elbow Bae takes out the Knee Barrista. Geiger takes out the loss on Keahi…with a kill (he knows he needs the chokes when he can get them and his size and wrestling win out). Geiger v Tatum is at best a tie, unless he finds a sneaky knee bar, but Tatum should be guarding against that outcome.  [7 points].

Joe “the Comedian” Kai (brown) – $16 – Casey Willbanks (blue), Josh Diaddario (blue), Stephen Mitchell (purple).  Kai’s coming off a few weeks of rest.  He’s well acquainted with his opponents this week.  Kai is fast, creative, and should know how to take out his 10th Planet Decatur teammates. [21 points] – PICK OF THE WEEK!!!

Clay Malone (blue) – $15 – Robert Autrey (white). Malone has two kills and two breaks. Autrey is winless. Malone for the kill. [7 points]

Eric Longar (brown) – $15 – Keahi Makekau (white), Seth Tatum (blue), Robert Gladden (white). Longar gets two kills, but can’t take Tatums. [9 points.]

Kevin “Liquid Terminator” Primeau (purple) – $15 – BYE WEEK, but keep an eye out for him next week as he’ll likely be a bargain (like Joe Kai above). Also, check out his interview on Matt Skaff’s Grappling Discourse podcast.

Mario Gaor (purple) – $15 – Matt “Scarecrow of Death” Harrison (brown), Matt Anderson (beast), Louis Collins (blue) – I don’t feel good about calling any matches for Gaor. He might take Collins as Gaor has more points, but Collins has more wins. [0 points].

Ridge Blackburn (black) – $15 – Caleb McAllister (black), Moises Carrasco,  Elijah Carlton (black)      I think he’s injured and out for foreseeable future, if there was a week to skip, it would be this one and that murderer’s row of competitors. [0 points]

BELOW AVERAGE

Dallas Sharp (blue) – $14 – BYE WEEK

Louis Collins (blue) – $14 – Matt “the Mane” Elkins (brown),  Mario Gaor (purple). He’s coming off a 10 point week but is facing an uphill battle against Elkins.  His match with Gaor is a tossup so I’ll hedge my bets saying [0 points].

Stephen Mitchell (purple) – $14 – Elijah Carlton (black), Joe “the Comedian” Kai (brown). A week to learn, [0 points].

UPDATE – HE’S OUT!!! Canaan Brooks (blue) – $13 – Robert Autrey (white), Michael Libby (blue). If he shows, this week could be his best week.  The question is does his cardio work.  He likes the leg game, so let’s bet [6 points].

Josh Diaddario (blue) – $13 – Joe “the Comedian” Kai (brown), Casey Willbanks (blue).  His match against Kai will be no laughing matter…hahahaha, I had to, but I’ll give him the leg lock against Willbanks. [3 points].

Mike “Manscape” Richey (white) – $13 – BYE WEEK

Noah Randolph (blue) – $13 – Dennis Smith (white), Caleb McAllister (black), Moises Carrasco. Noah has a great future. I think he’ll get Smith and he gets 2 for Caleb not showing up, but Moises too much experience on him. [9 points]

PENNY STOCKS (NOT LIKELY TO MAKE YOU MUCH, BUT IF YOU HAVE MONEY LEFT IN YOUR POCKET…)

Dennis Smith (white) – $12 – Noah Randolph (blue), Mike Johnson (purple), Matt “Scarecrow of Death” Harrison (brown). Smith gets his second kill of the season against Johnson – edit Johnson is out so no points. [0 points].

Keahi Makekau (white) – $12 – Eric Longar (brown), Jeremy “Kneebar Knight” Geiger (Blue). [0 points]

Michael Libby (blue) – $12 – Blake “Boy Wonder” Randall (blue), Canaan Brooks (blue). [0 points].

Robert Autrey (white) – $12 – Canaan Brooks (blue), Clay Malone (blue). [0 points].

UPDATE – HE’S OUT!!! Mike Johnson (purple) – $11 – Dennis Smith (white), Caleb McAllister (black) [0 points].

UPDATE – HE’S OUT!!! Robert Gladden (white) – $11 – Eric Longar (brown) [0 points].

Casey Willbanks (blue) – $10 – Joe “the Comedian” Kai (brown), Jonathan “Elbow Genie” Roberts (brown), Josh Diaddario (blue) [0 points].

Matt Skaff, Lindsey McCaghren (the First Lady of the PGF), and the competitors of the PGF are getting a well-deserved rest this week.  Brandon McCaghren and Conscious Keelan have put together a great product for all of us grappling fans.  After a very successful first third of the season, they’re due some R&R. As a fan who has made the PGF part of my schedule for my Friday nights, I hardly know what to do with myself.  So…..I took a break from building my fantasy analysis (forthcoming) and decided to review some match-ups we should all really look forward to watching next week.  Without further ado, here’s my top 7 highly anticipated fights for week #5:

#7 – Seth Tatum (blue) v Eric Longar (brown) – Seth Tatum has been a standout as a blue belt consistently in the top 10 of the PGF from week to week.  Eric Longar has underperformed on paper as a brown belt, but he’s giving up a lot of weight in almost every match. Seth is 6’3” and 180lb so Longar will be giving up length and weight.  But can the cagey brown belt take down the blue belt upstart?  Or will this match just be another notch on Tatum’s belt in his quest to get what seems to be an overdue purple belt from BMAC? Seriously, if Tatum finishes in the top 10, he’s got to have a good argument for a purple belt.  If I have to write down Skaff’s prerequisites for a purple belt from his podcast and go through PGF footage to give matches and time hacks to give proof, I might just do it.

#6 – Elijah Carlton (black) v Roger Coehlo (black) – A black belt battle could be fun.  The one spoiler is Roger (a fourth degree black belt) was choked/killed by Nilo Burgener in Week 2.  In week 1, Elijah took out Nilo with a break off a traditional triangle position (should’ve been a kill if patient).  Per the transitive property (google that stuff), Elijah should take out Roger.  Still, I have to believe Roger’s fourth degree pride and time off should make it a match to watch.

#5 – Jonathan “Elbow Genie” Roberts (brown) v Jeremy “Knee Barrista” Geiger (blue) – I’ll admit, I think the Elbow Genie/Elbow Bae gets the win via break fairly easily.  I couldn’t help but include this match due to the two nicknames of different hemispheres of the body.  Geiger has the collegiate wrestling and a love of knee bars, but the Elbow Genie has shown the ability to break almost any joint on the body.  Moreover, when the Manderson is impressed with your grips (like he was of Roberts), the Elbow Genie is likely to grab a hold of Geiger and break something.  Still, I think the athleticism of Geiger should make it a fun fight.

#4 – Roger Coelho (black) v  Moises Carrasco – I still don’t know what belt Moises holds, but he’s good. He’s a Cobra BJJ product out of Tuscaloosa and has an amateur MMA record of 3-2, with a #7 ranking amongst AL heavyweights according to tapology.com.  He’s shown patience and a love of the front headlock/darce/etc. setup.  Roger is a 4^th degree black belt that’s run into some problems against Nilo and couldn’t finish off Tatum (blue belt) or Elkins (brown belt). Roger still has the sickest foot sweep of the PGF, but this match could be a real fight.

#3 – Seth Tatum (blue) v Jeremy “Kneebar Barrista” Geiger (blue) – two 10^th Planet Decatur guys here.  You have to think they have faced off dozens if not hundreds of times on the mats there.  This match is where the Securities and Exchange Commission should cite BMAC and the First Lady of the PGF for insider trading considering their fantasy teams.  They’ve likely seen many of these rolls and have an unfair advantage in anticipating a victor.  Regardless, you have a top 10, triangle or back-take master in Tatum vs a collegiate wrestler who hates on people’s knees. It’s #3 v #6 in the Eastern Conference. Tatum has a 16 point advantage. If Geiger could pull the upset (by knee bar perhaps?), it would really boost him in the rankings. I’m picking Tatum, but look forward to a good match.

#2 – Matt “Scarecrow of Death” Harrison (brown) v Mario Gaor (purple) – Mario Gaor could put Matt Elkins (see below) a run for the money for the worst schedule so far.  He’s faced three black belts and one brown belt (and would’ve face another black belt if Ridge Blackburn hadn’t been hurt). Mario is a technical competitor with some slick moves.  But talking about slick moves, he’ll have to face the Scarecrow of Doom. The SOD is a triangle master. Everyone thought his play was just to pull guard and hit that lanky triangle, but he’s lately shown some good top game as well, leading to some mounted triangles.  I have to give the odds to the Chewjitsu product – the SOD. In this battle of tacticians, the lankiness factor will win out (plus he’s a brown belt v a purple belt).

#1 – Matt “the Mane” Elkins (brown) v Matt “Manderson” Anderson (beast white belt) – it’s the Thing vs the Hulk. Elkins has probably had the highest strength of schedule in the PGF. Anderson has been subbed by two brown belts and the Kneebar Knight.  Both are at the top of the weight limit with lots of strength. I believe Manderson is touted as the strongest PGF member, but Elkins has to be in the top 4. Elkins has the wrestling advantage, but Manderson is a judo brown belt.  That stylistic matchup could be fun. I would have to pick Elkins.  His wrestling skills plus his extensive training (brown belt) should be the mix of skill and strength needed to take out Manderson.  But, even though we all think the Thing should beat the Hulk…many times the strength of the Hulk gets him out of trouble.  As Manderson has world class powerlifting strength, he rates Hulk-like respect. This match should be FUN!

Okay, now back to re-watching PGF matches so I can find the keys to getting back to first place in the fantasy league…

For now, it doesn’t matter who I am or my background. I’m providing free fantasy analysis for PGF. I hope it helps you, unless it hurts my team. As my team is named “Blue Belts are People Too” you can guess I’m a blue belt. I’m in 6th place, but I have no insider trading info, so I think that’s pretty good.

SUPER PREMIUMS (you’re going to offset the expense)

Elijah Carlton (black) – $26 – likely 2 kills (14 points) [only 2 fights] – HE GOT 10 POINTS, KILLING DIADDARIO AND BREAKING MANSCAPE

Nilo “the Mop” Bergener (brown) – $23 – faces Matt SOD Harrison (brown); Louis Collins (blue belt); Matt Anderson (monster) – he could get three kills. Worried about Matt Anderson getting him while he’s tired. If Nilo doesn’t footlock/heelhook him early, it could be a rough match. Anderson has 40 lbs on him.  SOD could pull an upset. It would be interesting as both like to sit guard. – 3 kills (high risk/high reward)  [21 points] –  HE GOT 10 POINTS, COULDN’T SUBMIT THE SOD AND HAD TO SETTLE FOR A BREAK AGAINST COLLINS. HIS CARDIO WAS IMPRESSIVE AS HE STILL HAD PLENTY OF ENERGY FACING ANDERSON

Roger Coelho (black) – $22 – Kevin “Liquid Terminator” Primeau (purple); Caleb McAllister (black); Dennis Smith (white) – one sure kill; the other two are tough; guessing 1 kill; 1 break. Loss to Caleb [10 points]  – DID NOT SHOW

PREMIUMS

Jonathan “Elbow Genie” Roberts (brown) – $19 – Clay Malone (blue); Dallas Sharp (blue); Eric Longar (brown) – Downside estimate – three breaks (c’mon he’s the Elbow Genie) for 9 points. Upside, you throw in at least one kill and you have [13 points]. Some might think he’ll bow to the point system, but I’m guessing he might just joint lock his way easily to the tournament. At the tournament, all submissions are equal and the Elbow Genie could reign supreme. – HE GOT THREE BREAKS FOR 9 POINTS, SEEMS LIKE A TREND HERE. WILL HE BREAK DOWN (PUN INTENDED) AND CHOKE SOMEONE IN THE REGULAR SEASON?

Caleb McAllister (black) – $19 – Josh Diaddario (blue); Stephen Mitchell (purple); Roger Coehlo (black) – I’m calling it now, 3 kills. 21 points. Best play of the “premium” players. – CHOKED MITCHELL, BROKE DIADDARIO, AND GOT 2 POINTS FOR ROGER’S NO SHOW – FOR 12 POINTS

Seth Tatum (blue) – $18 – Blake Randall (blue belt, but deadly); Canaan Brooks (blue belt); Clay Malone (blue) – Blue belt battles this week for Seth Tatum. I’ll give him two kills [14 points], but I’m guessing the Randall matchup goes to a tie. I could be wrong; he could get 3 kills. His size and length could be too much for Randall, but he’s taken down bigger guys. – GOT THE KILL AGAINST RANDALL, GOT 2 FOR CANAAN’S NO SHOW, STALEMATED MALONE FOR 9 POINTS.

Matt “Scarecrow of Death” Harrison (brown) – $18 – Nilo the Mop Bergener (brown); Michael Libby (blue); Matt “the Mane” Elkins (brown) – The SOD could pull the upset against the Mop, but I don’t see it happening.  The best outcome likely is gutting out a tie. Michael Libby is a kill. But, the SOD vs the Mane is tough. Elkins has serious wrestling, size, and scrambling (did you see his match against Roger Coehlo?). I think one kill is a safe bet here, but he could catch Elkins. 7 points. – FOUGHT NILO TO A TIE, CHOKED LIBBY, BUT WAS CHOKED BY ELKINS – 7 POINTS.

Matt “the Mane” Elkins (brown) – $18 – Mike Johnson(purple); Matt “Scarecrow of Death” Harrison (brown). Elkins gets the choke/kill on Johnson for seven points. The Mane vs the SOD is a tough call.  The SOD is crafty and loves to pull guard, mitigating Elkins’ wrestling. I think the Mane vs the SOD is a toss-up. 7 points. – ELKINS CHOKED BOTH OPPONENTS FOR 14 POINTS. HE’S GOING TO BE A POPULAR PICK GOING FORWARD AS LONG AS HIS PRICE DOESN’T SKYROCKET.

Ridge Blackburn (black) – $17 – Mario Gaor(purple); Kevin “Liquid Terminator” Primeau (purple); Dennis Smith (white). Ridge had high expectations coming into the league, but has run into some rough competition, losing to The Mane via guillotine; The Mop via armbar and the Elbow Genie via heel hook.  Given his predilection to lose to competitors with legit nicknames, I’m expecting Ridge to earn two kills [14 points] but have problems with the Liquid Terminator. INJURED AND OUT FOR FORESEEABLE FUTURE

Moises Carrasco – $17 – Josh Diaddario (blue); Stephen Mitchell (purple). Working with only a four match sample size, there could be some error in this analysis. Moises has MMA experience. In his one televised match, he showed patience and a nice transition back and forth from Darce to guillotine chokes. He likely gets two kills [14 points] versus two sub .500 opponents. – LAST SECOND PICK WHEN I LEARNED RIDGE WAS OUT. HE GOT THE CHOKE AGAINST DIADDARIO BUT HAD TO SETTLE FOR A BREAK AGAINST MITCHELL FOR 10 POINTS.

AVERAGE

Kevin “Liquid Terminator” Primeau (purple) – $16 – Roger Coehlo (black); Ridge Blackburn (black). Someone doesn’t like the Liquid Terminator this week.  Pulling only two matches and both against black belts. The Liquid Terminator is fierce but not a sure thing to get any points this week. He could go T2000 and knock off two black belts, but it’s more likely he shows grit and ties them both. [0 points] – BOTH HIS OPPONENTS DID NOT SHOW SO HE RECEIVED 4 POINTS.

Joe “the Comedian” Kai (brown) – $16 – no matches until August 14^th.

Jeremy “Kneebar Knight” Geiger (Blue) – $16 – Dallas Sharp (blue); Eric Longar (brown); Casey Willbanks (blue) – The Kneebar Knight with his collegiate wrestling and size is intriguing here. Casey Willbanks is likely a kill (but he’s getting amazing experience even competing, I’d kill to live in the area). I’m going to give the Kneebar Knight either a break on Sharp or Longar, for a total of [10 points]. Longar, though a brown belt, has had problems giving up this much weight difference previously.  Sharp is a very athletic gymnast and has likely rolled with Geiger many, many times, so they may know each other’s attacks enough to get a draw. – HE GOT THE KILL ON LONGAR AND 2 POINTS FOR WILLBANKS NO SHOW BUT STALEMATE AGAINST SHARP FOR 9 POINTS.

Eric Longar (brown) – $16 – Casey Willbanks (blue); Jeremy “Kneebar Knight” Geiger (blue); Jonathan “Elbow Genie” Roberts (brown). Longar gets one kill (Willbanks), loses to Elbow Genie, and either ties or loses to Kneebar Knight. [7 points] – RECEIVED 2 POINTS FOR WILLBANKS NO SHOW, BUT WAS SUBMITTED BY OTHER OPPONENTS FOR 2 POINTS TOTAL

Blake Randall (blue) – $16 – Seth Tatum (blue); Robert Gladden (white); Robert Autrey (white). I’ll guarantee at least two breaks with an upside of two kills and a break.  Gladden has the size advantage, but Randall has great wrestling and cardio. Autrey should’ve been finished by Noah last week, but gutted out the tie. I think Randall takes out the two Roberts.  Seth Tatum is the real challenge.  Tatum’s length and skill could be a challenge – likely no points for Randall. Randall has seemed to be a break specialist, but I’ll go on a limb and say two kills [14 points].  – HE GOT ONE KILL FOR 7 POINTS

Matt Anderson (beast) – $15 – Robert Autrey (white); Michael Libby (blue); Nilo “the Mop” Bergener (brown). Anderson came back to earth last week with only one kill and two ties.  As mentioned above, he could give the Mop some problems as he’ll be Nilo’s third match and has conservatively a 20 lb weight advantage (and Anderson is very strong for his size if you listen to the Grappling Discourse podcast). Regardless, it’s not a good bet to say Anderson gets any points out of a match with Nilo.  But facing Autrey and Libbey (both winless), you have to think Anderson gets two kills [14 points]. – HE GOT THE TWO KILLS EXPECTED FOR 14 POINTS

Mario Gaor (purple) – $15 – Ridge Blackburn (black); Mike Johnson (purple). Mario has had a rough lineup, losing to three blackbelts and an MMA fighter. I don’t like his chances against another blackbelt.  On the upside, Mike Johnson is in the cellar of the division, so he could be a kill. [7 points] – HE GOT THE ONE KILL AND 2 POINTS FOR RIDGE NOT SHOWING SO 9 POINTS

Clay Malone (blue) – $15 – Jonathan “Elbow Genie” Roberts (brown); Seth Tatum (blue); Keahi Makekau (white). Malone has an uphill battle against the Elbow Genie and Seth Tatum – two top 10 players.  Keahi, who has lost to everyone except the winless Mike Johnson, is his win for the night, likely with a kill. [7 points] – HE GOT THE EXPECTED KILL FOR 7 POINTS.

BELOW AVERAGE

Stephen Mitchell (purple) – $14 – Dennis Smith (white); Caleb McAllister (black); Moises Carrasco (mma, brown or black). Stephen has a tough night with Caleb and Moises, likely facing two losses. Dennis has the collegiate wrestling and size advantage, but Mitchell has the technique.  Mitchell and Smith faced the same opponent in Mario Gaor. Mario choked Dennis but tied Mitchell. I might give Mitchell the kill here, but I wouldn’t be surprised if he ended up with a tie and no points on the night. [0 points]- NO SUBMISSIONS

Noah Randolph (blue) – $13 – On bye week. Which is good because he’s a fierce competitor you want to champion, but he hasn’t put up the fantasy points.  He’s going to be a bad man the next time his weight class’s season rolls around. BYE WEEK

Mike “Manscape” Richey (white) – $13 – Elijah Carlton (black), Casey Willbanks (blue). Manscape loses to Elijah, but kills Willbanks. [7 points] MANSCAPE GOT 2 POINTS FOR WILLBANKS NOT SHOWING.

Louis Collins (blue) – $13 – Robert Gladden (white); Robert Autrey (white); Nilo “the Mop” Bergener (brown). Collins has three victories, against two blue belts and a white belt. He’s got wrestling and leg locks. I could see two leg locks out of this lineup. [6 points] – HE EXCEEDED EXPECTATIONS, GETTING A KILL AND A BREAK FOR 10 POINTS.

Josh Diaddario (blue) – $13 – Caleb McAllister (black); Moises Carrasco; Elijah Carlton (black). This week is an awesome opportunity for Diaddario to roll against some serious talent. [0 points] – NO SUBMISSIONS FOR 0 POINTS.

Dallas Sharp (blue) – $13 – Jeremy “Kneebar Knight” Geiger (Blue); Jonathan “Elbow Genie” Roberts (brown); Keahi Makekau (white). Sharp’s a superior athlete, but giving up size to the Kneebar Knight (loss). If the Elbow Genie doesn’t take Sharp’s arm home with him, Sharp could get a kill against Keahi. [7 points] – HE GOT THE EXPECTED KILL FOR 7 POINTS.

Canaan Brooks (blue) – $13 – Keahi Makekau (white); Seth Tatum (blue); Robert Gladden (white). Canaan only has one win.  He’s been trying to play the leg game, but with only one success.  I’m thinking this week may be his time to shine – two breaks [6 points]. – DID NOT SHOW

PENNY STOCKS (NOT LIKELY TO MAKE YOU MUCH, BUT IF YOU HAVE MONEY LEFT IN YOUR POCKET…)

Robert Gladden (white) – $12 – Louis Collins (blue); Blake Randall (blue); Canaan Brooks (blue). Gladden looks really strong, but susceptible to small, wily guys (see Diaddario match). Collins, Brooks, and Randall I believe all have leg attack submissions in the PGF.  Gladden may have issues fending these off. He may outperform this eval, but I’m judging [0 points]. – HE RECEIVED 2 POINTS FOR CANAAN’S NO SHOW

Keahi Makekau (white) – $12 – Canaan Brooks (blue); Dallas Sharp (blue); Clay Malone (blue). This may be Keahi’s most fair week – no black belts, etc. I know Keahi has a huge following, but I can’t bet on him this week. [0 points] – HE RECEIVED 2 POINTS FOR CANAAN’S NO SHOW.

Dennis Smith (white) – $12 – Stephen Mitchell (purple); Ridge Blackburn (black); Roger Coelho (black). Dennis might have a chance to bully Stephen with his size and collegiate wrestling, but I don’t see him getting any points this week. [0 points] – NO SUBMISSIONS FOR 0 POINTS

Casey Willbanks (blue) – $12 – Eric Longar (brown); Mike “Manscape” Richey (white); Jeremy “Kneebar Knight” Geiger (Blue). It’s going to be a long night for Casey Willbanks, but it’ll make him better. [0 points] – DID NOT SHOW FOR 0 POINTS.

Robert Autrey (white) – $11 – Matt Anderson (beast); Louis Collins (blue); Blake Randall (blue). Autrey is winless. Collins would be his best shot, but Collins has three victories. [0 points] – NO SUBS FOR 0 POINTS.

Mike Johnson (purple) – $11 – Michael Libby (blue); Matt “the Mane” Elkins (brown); Mario Gaor (purple).  Mike Johnson could get his first win against Michael Libby, but they’re both winless. [3 points] – NO SUBS FOR  0 POINTS.

Michael Libby (blue) – $10 – Matt “Scarecrow of Death” Harrison (brown); Matt Anderson (beast); Mike Johnson. Libby has been submitted by all his opponents. While Mike Johnson is also winless, he’s a purple belt, so Libby is likely to remain winless. [0 points] – HE GOT A BREAK AGAINST JOHNSON FOR 3 POINTS.

UPDATE: Ridge Blackburn is out. Switch to Moises.