FANTASY PGF WORLD STARTS TODAY!!!
PGF World fans have a chance to win $1,000 by playing fantasy jiu jitsu. Fans can enter and play Fantasy Jiu Jitsu for FREE by following THIS LINK. Fans will have chances to win prizes as nightly winners, but the biggest prizes will go to the overall PGF World 6 Fantasy Champion.
Fantasy managers will have a set budget each day for assembling their team ($160 for the first day). Competitors’ roster prices will change every day based upon their performance. Fantasy managers must set up a new lineup each day to stay in the hunt for the daily and overall prizes. Finally, fantasy managers must fill all seven roster spots – so no picking only super premium competitors and leaving roster spots open.
To help both new and old PGF World fans alike, the Editorial Board at EggheadWarrior.com has put together some analysis of tonight’s matchups and how they affect competitors’ expected value compared to their roster price.
SUPER PREMIUMS (you’re going to offset the expense by dropping a roster spot)
PJ Barch (black) – $34. He faces Nathan Haddad (Kill), Jett Thompson (Kill), John Combs (Break) – 15 points. PJ faces two young, talented competitors in Haddad and Thompson…but the Butter Panther will show them there’s levels to this game. PJ took out Combs via heel hook at the 2021 Emerald City Invitational – so if it isn’t broke, don’t stop heel hooking it? PJ will show why he was ranked #1.
Andy Varela (black) – $32. He faces Cam Hurd (KILL), Davis Asare (DRAW), and Jamie Carnall (KILL) – 12 points. Varela got Hurd with an anaconda in their last match – Hurd might be looking to hard to counter that move that Varela takes his back. Asare faces a very tough room at New Wave every day. Varela was seconds away from the RNC in their last matchup, but it’s likely Asare and his coach John Danaher dissected that match and have patched the holes that almost led to the submission.
Renato Canuto (black) – $33. He faces Kevin Sherrill (BREAK), Max Hanson (LOSS), and Elijah Carlton (BREAK) – 6 points. Canuto could drastically overperform this prediction or he could drastically underperform this prediction. Because of the rulesets he’s competed in traditionally, he doesn’t have a lot of film with him securing submissions. But the ruleset makes the match. We’ll know a lot more about how to predict Canuto’s matches after tonight. Until then, he’s a risk for so much money.
PREMIUMS (worth more than your average bear, but won’t break the bank quite as much as the super premiums)
Elijah “the Bad Guy” Carlton (black) – $28. He faces Max Hanson (Loss), Kevin Sherrill (Break), and Renato Canuto (Draw) – 3 points. Elijah faces two of the top contenders for the season today. While the old adage is never to bet against Elijah in PGF World, it’s hard to think he earns enough points today to be worth the $28 premium price.
Davis Asare (purple) – $27. He faces Jamie Carnall, Andy Varela, and Cam Hurd – 6 points. Asare will be lucky to force a draw against Varela. Still, Asare has a good shot at getting two breaks or securing at least one kill against Carnall and Hurd. He might be able to get more points, but the Editorial board is being conservative for now.
John Combs (black) – $27. He faces Jett Thompson, Nathan Haddad, and PJ Barch – 12 points. Combs likely falls to Barch or forces a draw. But Combs has very favorable matchups with the fifth member of two different teams in Thompson and Haddad. If he wants to make the playoffs, Combs needs to get Kills against these gentlemen.
Daniel Sathler (black) – $26. He faces Matt Elkins, Samson Phommabout, and Ben Eddy – 3 points. Sathler spends most of his competitive time in rulesets won by points, advantage, or ref decision. He comes from one of the best teams in the world, but until we see how he performs in the PGF be careful putting him on your roster.
Max Hanson (black) – $26. He faces Elijah Carlton, Renato Canuto, and Kevin Sherrill – 12 points. Today, Max Hanson shows how he bounces back from losses. He lost the bronze medal match at the West Coast Trials, but that only makes him more resolute to show he is a contender for the PGF World 6 Title. If he can get two kills today, he can make a real statement. And the Editorial Board at EggheadWarrior.com believes he can.
AVERAGE (solid competitors to add to your team)
Kevin Beuhring (purple) – $23. He faces AJ Agazarm, Michael John, and David Evers.
Ben Eddy (black) – $22. He faces Samson Phommabout, Matt Elkins, and Daniel Sathler – 12 points. Not going to say which two are getting choked, but Eddy’s guard will come out to play today.
Nathan Haddad (black) – $22. He faces PJ Barch, John Combs, and Jett Thompson. The Jett Thompson match could go either way, but the coin flip says its going to Jett. Haddad has a lot of skills, a lot of tools. But today might not be the best day to put him on your roster.
David “Quadzilla” Evers (black) – $21. He faces Michael John, AJ Agazarm, and Kevin Beuhring – 6 points. We won’t give you exact expectations here, but Evers has a favorable lineup. More importantly, they probably all looked over him (except Beuhring who lost to him in the finale tournament of Season 3). Evers can have a great start to his season today.
Mike John (black) – $21. He faces David Evers, Kevin Beuhring, and AJ Agazarm. John fought his way into the PGF, being the only qualifier winner. That said, even though his matches will be exciting, it’s tough to rely on points from him on the first day.
BELOW AVERAGE (lower priced but also less likely to get you points)
AJ Agazarm (black) – $20. He faces Kevin Beuhring, David Evers, Michael John. Until proven otherwise, AJ has spent too much time in rulesets which favored positional point scoring over submissions. AJ can get submissions, but can he shake off those rulesets on the first day, especially when he wasn’t present for the rules meeting?
Matt Elkins (black) – $20. He faces Daniel Sathler (KILL), Ben Eddy (DRAW), and Samson Phommabout (KILL) – 12 points. Upset special of the night, the veteran collegiate wrestler and PGF veteran will find a way to submit Sathler. As we know, 26 of Elkins’ 28 submissions in the PGF are Kills, so a kill it is. Of note, the Editorial Board of EggheadWarrior.com might be biased in favor of a great PGF veteran.
Samson Phommabout (black) – $20. He faces Ben Eddy, Daniel Sathler, and Matt Elkins. Samson is a game, veteran MMA fighter, but he’s undersized for this weight class, especially with this level of competition. Don’t count on points tonight from Samson.
Cam Hurd (purple) – $20. He faces Andy Varela (Loss), Jamie Carnall (Kill), and Davis Asare (Loss) – 6 points. Varela has had Cam’s number before and likely will again. Asare comes from too good a camp not to at least cause a draw. The Carnall and Cam match will say a lot about what the week holds for them. Currently, the odds are going in favor of Cam’s front headlock game.
“Handsome” Kevin Sherrill (brown) – $20. He faces Renato Canuto, Elijah Carlton, and Max Hanson. Spa day might have come early for Handsome Kevin. He’s been wanting to get that match back against Elijah, but it’s likely to end in a draw. You shouldn’t count on points from the Handsome one today.
Jett Thompson (brown) – $20. He faces John Combs (Loss), PJ Barch (Loss), and Nathan Haddad (Break) – 3 points. Jett is a tough competitor for sure, but he’s going up against two of the toughest, most experienced competitors in Barch and Combs. Jett likely sits guard against Haddad and will snap on his favorite submission – an armbar.
PENNY STOCKS (NOT LIKELY TO MAKE YOU MUCH, BUT IF YOU HAVE MONEY LEFT IN YOUR POCKET…) – a reminder to all competitors, don’t take my comments personally. If I was competing, I would be squarely at the bottom of this category.
Jamie Carnall (brown) – $18. Number 20 in the power rankings and number 20 in your hearts. The Starving Raccoon faces Davis Asare (loss), Cam Hurd (break – low percentage), and Andy Varela (loss). Carnall will be a fan favorite this season. He’s too much fun on the microphone. He’s also got a sneaky ability to take his opponent’s backs and sink in RNCs. But this lineup is TOUGH. He faces a dark horse to win it all, a favorite to win it all, and a very game D1 wrestler who just had a great run at the West Coast trials. We’re not expecting any points out of him today.
There you go. That’s the best PGF Fantasy analysis published. Good luck.
P.S. Evan Dewitt can write his own analysis if he wants it to get published earlier. He should have plenty of time since he’s an alternate.
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