Team, only nine submissions in day 1. It’s always a hard transition for competitors who are not used to six minute rounds and not used to submissions or nothing scoring rules. The Commissioner has said the refs will be pushing stalling calls to help force the action, but the parity of the roster has really shown so far. With only $160 to fill your roster, fantasy managers will have to look for the few mismatches on the schedule for tonight and try to find a way to afford those competitors. May the odds be ever in your favor.
SUPER PREMIUMS (you’re going to offset the expense by dropping a roster spot)
Andy Varela (black) – $34. He faces Kevin Beuhring, PJ Barch, and Nathan Haddad – 9 points. Varela is very skilled and he delivered on day 1. But he’s facing some very game opponents. He might even have three draws with this lineup, but odds are he finds a way to get a kill and a break in this lineup.
Davis Asare (purple) – $33. He faces Michael John, Jett Thompson, and AJ Agazarm – 6 points. Agazarm has shown he won’t tap. Competitors will have to put him to sleep and that’s a tall order. Thompson has shown he won’t back down and John is a craft bet. Odds have Asare getting 6 points today.
Daniel Sathler (black) – $32. He faces Kevin Sherrell, Nathan Haddad, and Max Hanson – 0 points. Sathler had a phenomenal first day with two highlight submissions. Today he regresses to the mean. He might squeeze out 6 points, but odds do not favor it.
Renato Canuto (black) – $30. He faces AJ Agazarm, Ben Eddy, and Michael John – 3 points. Canuto is so dynamic but hasn’t been able to finish a submission. He might find a flying armbar today, but there’s a very real possibility he doesn’t get a submission again.
PREMIUMS (worth more than your average bear, but won’t break the bank quite as much as the super premiums)
PJ Barch (black) – $29. He faces Ben Eddy, Andy Varela, and Cam Hurd – 6 points. PJ needs points badly and his best shot today is against Hurd, but Hurd is a very tough wrestler whose jiu jitsu skills have been improving rapidly. It could be another long day for Barch.
Cam Hurd (purple) – $29. He faces John Combs, David Evers, and PJ Barch – 0 points. No competitor would want to face this lineup today. Hurd will bring excitement to each match but unlikely a submission.
David “Quadzilla” Evers (black) – $28. He faces Max Hanson, Cam Hurd, and Kevin Sherrill – 6 points. Evers’ best bets are Breaks against Hurd and Sherrill (who he defeated in the PGF Season 3 finale).
John Combs (black) – $27. He faces Cam Hurd, Samson Phommabout, and Ben Eddy – 12 points. Combs has two Kill (choke) wins over over Hurd in ADCC Opens and Samson, though very tough, is susceptible to a submission. Combs knows he needs points today and he will likely get them.
Jett Thompson (brown) – $25. He faces Matt Elkins, Davis Asare, and Samson Phommabout – 6 points. Thompson versus Asare will give us more information about both competitors – with Asare likely ending up on top. Jett has to look at the Elkins and Samson matches as opportunities for points. With so few submissions so far this season, all competitors should jump on any chance at a Break.
Elijah “the Bad Guy” Carlton (brown) – $25. He faces Samson Phommabout, Kevin Beuhring, and Matt Elkins – 12 points. Elijah has been Elkins’ kryptonite through many seasons of the PGF. For all the praise Elijah has given Kevin Beurhing, Elijah is the black belt in the 10th Planet Atlanta room and will likely big brother Kevin. Finally, Elijah will definitely target Samson. Elijah might get 18 points today, but 12 is a good estimate.
AVERAGE (solid competitors to add to your team)
Nathan Haddad (black) – $24. He faces Jamie Carnall, Daniel Sathler, and Andy Varela. Haddad is very game, but his best shot at a submission is a very cagey Carnall. $24 is a lot for a possible 6, but more likely three draws.
Max Hanson (black) – $24. He faces David Evers, Matt Elkins, and Daniel Sathler. – 6 points. Max could definitely out perform this estimate. You know he wants to get it back against Sathler after the WNO loss. Hansons will be looking to take out the two PGF veterans, but they are very hard to put away.
Kevin Beuhring (purple) – $23. He faces Andy Varela, Elijah Carlton, and Jamie Carnall. – 3 points. Beuhring’s best shot is a break against Carnall.
Mike John (black) – $21. He faces Davis Asare, Kevin Sherrill, and Renato Canuto. This lineup isn’t favorable for John.
Ben Eddy (black) – $21. He faces PJ Barch, Renato Canuto, and John Combs. Eddy’s facing a murderers row. He might have caught Combs before in a hindulotine, but it’ll be hard to catch him unawares again.
BELOW AVERAGE (lower priced but also less likely to get you points)
AJ Agazarm (black) – $20. He faces Renato Canuto, Jamie Carnall, and Davis Asare. Agazarm will be targeting Carnall, but Carnall’s used to it.
Matt Elkins (black) – $20. He faces Jett Thompson, Max Hanson, and Elijah Carlton – 0 points. The PGF veteran has a chance against each of these individuals, but it’s a tough row to hoe.
Samson Phommabout (black) – $20. He faces Elijah Carlton, John Combs, and Jett Thompson – 0 points. Samson will be the hunted one today.
PENNY STOCKS (NOT LIKELY TO MAKE YOU MUCH, BUT IF YOU HAVE MONEY LEFT IN YOUR POCKET…) – a reminder to all competitors, don’t take my comments personally. If I was competing, I would be squarely at the bottom of this category.
“Handsome” Kevin Sherrill (brown) – $18. He faces Daniel Sathler, Michael John, and David Evers. Handsome Kevin might be able to take out John and Evers, but Evers has the win over Handsome Kevin. He might be worth a flyer, though.
Jamie Carnall (brown) – $17. He faces Nathan Haddad, AJ Agazarm, and Kevin Beuhring – 0 points. Carnall is going to surprise some competitors with a submission before the week is over, but it’s unlikely today.
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