We’ve received a bunch of new data after seeing how things shook out on PGF Season 7 Day 1. Now, the predictions should be closer, but that’s also why they play the game.
Please see the PGF Season 7 Day 1 recap article HERE for more of a preamble. But without any further ado, here’s the predictions:
Ryan Aitken – 16 points (2 kills, 2 back takes)
We’re not doubting him again. Aitken has some tough opponents, but he gets the benefit of the doubt until he’s proven wrong. On the other hand, we could see a regression to the mean where he shows he’s a mere human. But our money is on cyborg Aitken, sent back from the future to wreck other grapplers.
Dory Aoun HUSTLE BRAZILIAN JIU-JITSU (IBJJFF)
Ryan Aitken 10th planet Atlanta
Ryan Aitken 10th planet Atlanta
Abe “The Mountain” La Matagne / Andre Porfirio Alpha Miami Grappling
Sebastian Attard Grappling Education
Ryan Aitken 10th planet Atlanta
Kemoy Anderson – 14 points (1 Kill, 1 Break, 1 back, 2 takedowns)
Okay, Kemoy ended Day 1 with -1 fantasy points. I was wrong. But Kemoy knows the game and he’s a damn beast. Today, he faces some beatable opponents. If Kemoy wants to make the finale, which you know he does, he has to be targeting Schneider and Haddad. Schneider has been submitted in each of his matches and Haddad was submitted twice on Day 1. Chambers has a pretty quick win in his prior match against Kemoy, so Kemoy will likely try to just get a draw in that match. I know I was very much wrong betting on Kemoy yesterday, but he has a very good lineup today to score fantasy points. If we’re wrong today, well – the benefit of the doubt will go away.
Nathan Haddad Helio Soneca Association
Kemoy Anderson 10th Planet Austin
Kyle Chambers 10th Planet Freaks
Kemoy Anderson 10th Planet Austin
Kemoy Anderson 10th Planet Austin
Bradley Schneider Pedigo Submission Fighting
Paul Ardila – 13 points (three breaks, two takedowns, one mount)
Paul has a target on his back (your welcome). He faced some of his toughest #PGF7 opponents on Day 1, now he needs to get to work putting more points on the board. He faces his training partner in Ernesto Rivera, which you have to think he will “big brother.” Then he faces Nikolov and Haddad. They’ve been tough, but both have been submitted before. Ardila needs to make the most of today if he wants to earn the PGF7 title.
Paul Ardila American Top Team – Atlanta
Ernesto Rivera American Top Team – Atlanta
Paul Ardila American Top Team – Atlanta
Fedor Nikolov 10th Planet Saint-Petersburg
Paul Ardila American Top Team – Atlanta
Nathan Haddad Helio Soneca Association
Kyle Boehm – 12 points.
Yes, Boehm didn’t get any points in day 1. Yes, he’s facing a very tough set of opponents. Still, the fanboys in the Editorial Board of Eggheadwarrior.com have convinced us that Boehm’s making a move today. He’s faced the best. He’s defeated the best. Boehm’s rise to the top is…inevitable.
Kyle Boehm 10th Planet Freaks
Bradley Schneider Pedigo Submission Fighting
Kyle Boehm 10th Planet Freaks
Marcin Maciulewicz Aligatores Fight Club
Kyle Boehm 10th Planet Freaks
Abe “the Mountain” La Matagne / Andre Porfirio Alpha Miami Grappling
Nathan Haddad – 10 points. (kill, takedown, back take)
Haddad has his best shot today to hit his potent, throw-by, to back take, to RNC combo. I’m not saying against whom, because I don’t want to jinx it. Nathan’s a good kid and I really want him to do well.
Nathan Haddad Helio Soneca Association
Kemoy Anderson 10th Planet Austin
Bradley Schneider Pedigo Submission Fighting
Nathan Haddad Helio Soneca Association
Paul Ardila American Top Team – Atlanta
Nathan Haddad Helio Soneca Association
Kyle Chambers – 9 points (3 breaks)
Chambers came up short on his first two matches, settling for two draws. Still, he had a very nice break in his third match -against a PGF veteran who had 0 losses in PGF Season 6. Now he faced Kemoy who he’s leg-locked quickly in a prior match. Crump and Cam have been super tough this season, but Chambers knows he needs the points. Crump previously defeated Chambers in another promotion via points – so Chambers might have some extra motivation to avenge that prior loss.
Kyle Chambers 10th Planet Freaks
Cameron Hurd Ascend/TDBJJ
Kyle Chambers 10th Planet Freaks
Kemoy Anderson 10th Planet Austin
Kyle Chambers 10th Planet Freaks
Caleb Crump Easton Training Center – Centennial
Ernesto Rivera – 9 points (1 takedown, 2 back, 1 kill)
Rivera maybe Handsome Kevin Sherrill has infected the Editorial Board of Eggheadwarrior.com, but Ernesto might just get the dunk on Caleb, heading that way with a takedown and a back take. It might more likely be a break, or even a draw, but Ernesto has to find a way to score.
Paul Ardila American Top Team – Atlanta
Ernesto Rivera American Top Team – Atlanta
Ernesto Rivera American Top Team – Atlanta
Caleb Crump Easton Training Center – Centennial
Marcin Maciulewicz Aligatores Fight Club
Ernesto Rivera American Top Team – Atlanta
Adam Bradley – 7 points (one break, two mounts)
Bradley had some favorable matchups on Day 1, but only scored one break and got one mount. Travis Thomas’ athleticism and burgeoning skill has made him a very hard opponent – it’s tough to get fantasy points against him. Attard will likely sit, but Bradley has to think Attard is his best shot at some points. Of course, if Bradley could take out fan favorites in Thomas or Elijah, he would quickly quiet any of his PGF critics.
Adam Bradley B Team JiuJitsu
Travis Thomas 10th planet Decatur
Adam Bradley B Team JiuJitsu
Sebastian Attard Grappling Education
Adam Bradley B Team JiuJitsu
Elijah Carlton 10th planet Atlanta
Elijah Carlton – 6 points (two breaks)
Turn your PGF hymnals to page 3. Let us sing the refrain “Never bet against Elijah in the PGF.” Cam has been a teammate of Elijah, then was on the receiving end of one of Elijah’s deadly triangles in PGF Season 6. The best guess is that Elijah threatens Cam with the triangle as misdirection to find one of his leglocks. Elijah faces two B Team greats in Wojcik and Bradley. Getting a submission against either would be a big feather in Elijah’s cap. But the B Team came to the PGF – and the PGF is Elijah’s house. The house money says Elijah finds a way to get an “upset” against at least one of the B Team crew for a break and three points.
Elijah Carlton 10th planet Atlanta
Chris Wojcik B Team JiuJitsu
Cameron Hurd Ascend/TDBJJ
Elijah Carlton 10th planet Atlanta
Adam Bradley B Team JiuJitsu
Elijah Carlton 10th planet Atlanta
Marcin Maciulewicz – 6 points (2 breaks)
Marcin hit the PGF with some purpose. He’s here to make his name known. Now that he can’t surprise anyone, his mission will be harder, but he’s such a killer – it might not matter. He faces a now human Davis Asare (who is much, much lighter than him) and a former reserve player in Rivera. Marcin has a good shot to get breaks against them. If Marcin can shoot the moon and sub all three, he’ll be a legend. But you can count on a couple of subs, most likely.
Davis Asare New Wave JiuJitsu
Marcin Maciulewicz Aligatores Fight Club
Kyle Boehm 10th Planet Freaks
Marcin Maciulewicz Aligatores Fight Club
Marcin Maciulewicz Aligatores Fight Club
Ernesto Rivera American Top Team – Atlanta
Andre Porfirio/Abe the Mountain La Matagne – 3 points (1 break).
Porfirio is likely still out, meaning the Mountain will take his place. The Mountain is as wide as he is tall as TJ De Santis said. Abe had a great showing on Day 1, immediately getting a sub and then forcing a draw against Paul Ardila. Abe might just get that Abe lock against Fedor as it’s a newer thing, but you have to think Aitken and Boehm will be wise to it.
Andre Porfirio Alpha Miami Grappling
Fedor Nikolov 10th Planet Saint-Petersburg
Ryan Aitken 10th planet Atlanta
Andre Porfirio Alpha Miami Grappling
Kyle Boehm 10th Planet Freaks
Andre Porfirio Alpha Miami Grappling
Sebastian Attard – 3 points (one break).
I talked to Sebastian after yesterday. As an admitted Attard fan, I reminded him of how PJ Barch said the PGF was just “F’d” as an experience for even the best grapplers. Sebastian faces some serious beasts in Aitken and Bradley, and even Crump. Attard must be targeting Crump as a possible way to get on the board. A sub against Crump would be tough, but understandable. But a sub against the “Escape Artist” or Aitken is a tall order.
Caleb Crump Easton Training Center – Centennial
Sebastian Attard Grappling Education
Adam Bradley B Team JiuJitsu
Sebastian Attard Grappling Education
Sebastian Attard Grappling Education
Ryan Aitken 10th planet Atlanta
Cam Hurd – 0 points
I am a serious Cam Hurd fan. You could put him up against anyone and I want to watch that scrap…because Cam will make it a BATTLE! But Cam is facing three competitors who like to play guard. All three of his opponents are likely to pull guard, eliminating the chance Cam can get you those awesome takedown points he earned his fantasy managers on day 1. Cam has the style to really make a fantasy difference, but it’s less likely when his opponents sit to their buts on their own accord. Expect great matches but few points.
Kyle Chambers 10th Planet Freaks
Cameron Hurd Ascend/TDBJJ
Cameron Hurd Ascend/TDBJJ
Elijah Carlton 10th planet Atlanta
Fedor Nikolov 10th Planet Saint-Petersburg
Cameron Hurd Ascend/TDBJJ
Dory Aoun – 0 points
Dory’s tough as can be, but he’s facing the best competitor of the three other teams. This day is his toughest challenge. He’ll attack, but he won’t submit.
Dory Aoun HUSTLE BRAZILIAN JIU-JITSU (IBJJFF)
Ryan Aitken 10th planet Atlanta
Dory Aoun HUSTLE BRAZILIAN JIU-JITSU (IBJJFF)
Chris Wojcik B Team JiuJitsu
Dory Aoun HUSTLE BRAZILIAN JIU-JITSU (IBJJFF)
Davis Asare New Wave JiuJitsu
Travis Thomas – Unknown
Travis has shown positional dominance, but none of the killing strokes he highlighted in PGF Season 5. Maybe he made too much of a name for himself that season. He faces very formidable foes today and we’re excited for him to prove us wrong.
Adam Bradley B Team JiuJitsu
Travis Thomas 10th planet Decatur
Travis Thomas 10th planet Decatur
Davis Asare New Wave JiuJitsu
Chris Wojcik B Team JiuJitsu
Travis Thomas 10th planet Decatur
Chris Wojcik – 0 Points.
Wojcik is very smart and very talented, but he hasn’t scored yet. He’s facing another set of rough opponents and will to put points on the board to earn a spot on your roster.
Elijah Carlton 10th planet Atlanta
Chris Wojcik B Team JiuJitsu
Dory Aoun HUSTLE BRAZILIAN JIU-JITSU (IBJJFF)
Chris Wojcik B Team JiuJitsu
Chris Wojcik B Team JiuJitsu
Travis Thomas 10th planet Decatur
Davis Asare – 0 points.
Davis is a legend. He went from regular season champion to coming out as a stopper after having a ridiculous pop/tear against him. But his valiant efforts didn’t get him any points (well, one team point) and now he faces another murder’s row. Asare isn’t a good choice for today.
Davis Asare New Wave JiuJitsu
Marcin Maciulewicz Aligatores Fight Club
Travis Thomas 10th planet Decatur
Davis Asare New Wave JiuJitsu
Dory Aoun HUSTLE BRAZILIAN JIU-JITSU (IBJJFF)
Davis Asare New Wave JiuJitsu
Brad Schneider – 0 points.
Scheider might be the “couchable” member of the roster. He gave up 3 subs on the first day. Things don’t look great for day 2 either.
Kyle Boehm 10th Planet Freaks
Bradley Schneider Pedigo Submission Fighting
Bradley Schneider Pedigo Submission Fighting
Nathan Haddad Helio Soneca Association
Kemoy Anderson 10th Planet Austin
Bradley Schneider Pedigo Submission Fighting
Caleb Crump – 0 points.
Let’s be very honest. We picked Caleb for our #20 spot. But his grit and gusto is winning us over as fans. As much fans as we are becoming, fantasy managers want mismatches for points – even though Caleb has shown he’s a dog on the mats; he won’t be a viable fantasy start until he puts some points on the board.
Caleb Crump Easton Training Center – Centennial
Sebastian Attard Grappling Education
Ernesto Rivera American Top Team – Atlanta
Caleb Crump Easton Training Center – Centennial
Kyle Chambers 10th Planet Freaks
Caleb Crump Easton Training Center – Centennial
Fedor Nikolov – 0 points
Fedor keeps getting set up with tough draws. The Mountain…well, he’s a mountain and super tough. Then, Fedor faces one of the top competitors in Ardila. Finally, Fedor faces a much-improved Cam Hurd. Cam got the win in PGF Season 5 via DQ because Fedor jumped guard, which is not allowed in the PGF. You have to think both of them want another shot at each other, which likely means no points.
Abe “The Mountain” La Matagne / Andre Porfirio Alpha Miami Grappling
Fedor Nikolov 10th Planet Saint-Petersburg
Paul Ardila American Top Team – Atlanta
Fedor Nikolov 10th Planet Saint-Petersburg
Fedor Nikolov 10th Planet Saint-Petersburg
Cameron Hurd Ascend/TDBJJ
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